Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.028960 0.031224 0.033592 0.036257 0.039177 0.042281 0.045837
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.025238 0.028474 0.032045 0.036292 0.041223 0.046787 0.053569
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.022358 0.026082 0.030357 0.035658 0.042091 0.049693 0.059429
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.020369 0.024407 0.029194 0.035333 0.043063 0.052558 0.065235
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.018773 0.023004 0.028158 0.034962 0.043803 0.055033 0.070589
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.017261 0.021558 0.026913 0.034160 0.043836 0.056493 0.074603
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.016452 0.020922 0.026617 0.034509 0.045331 0.059897 0.081418
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.015593 0.020151 0.026071 0.034452 0.046223 0.062484 0.087228
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.015015 0.019703 0.025908 0.034876 0.047766 0.066036 0.094657
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014231 0.018924 0.025238 0.034530 0.048161 0.067925 0.099704
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.013586 0.018297 0.024733 0.034369 0.048787 0.070154 0.105399
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.012955 0.017651 0.024159 0.034061 0.049152 0.071984 0.110562
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.012493 0.017227 0.023886 0.034187 0.050190 0.074933 0.117821
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.011894 0.016576 0.023247 0.033723 0.050278 0.076380 0.122682
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.011278 0.015870 0.022491 0.033030 0.049953 0.077119 0.126359
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.010808 0.015357 0.021996 0.032709 0.050189 0.078775 0.131749
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010367 0.014865 0.021506 0.032364 0.050356 0.080307 0.137017
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009858 0.014250 0.020799 0.031631 0.049826 0.080597 0.139992
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.009638 0.014065 0.020746 0.031949 0.051078 0.084050 0.149193
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.009344 0.013753 0.020479 0.031897 0.051684 0.086386 0.156427
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.009167 0.013615 0.020478 0.032284 0.053070 0.090209 0.166927
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.008846 0.013236 0.020074 0.031968 0.053185 0.091692 0.172799
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.008578 0.012933 0.019780 0.031821 0.053591 0.093734 0.179998